RatingDog (Caixin) China Services PMI September 2026 above 51.5 points (release October 5, 2026, confirmed by RatingDog/Caixin or Bloomberg by October 6)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 1. October 2026
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Predicted for 5. October 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
The RatingDog (formerly Caixin) China Services PMI for August 2026 printed at 51.4 — above the 50-point expansion threshold and above the 50.6 consensus (Investing.com). The services sector remains substantially more resilient than manufacturing: China's NBS Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 disappointed at only 50.1. A modest improvement to 51.5 (+0.1 vs. prior month) is supported by ongoing domestic consumer recovery. No Polymarket market available; probability is slightly above 50% given the narrow gap to the previous reading.
Data basis for this prediction
- Investing.com / MQL5 Caixin Services PMI-Kalender (Stand: 1. Oktober 2026): August-Wert 51,4 vs. Konsens 50,6
- Reuters/FXStreet: NBS Manufacturing PMI September 2026 = 50,1 (Veröffentlichung 30. September 2026)
- TipRanks Economic Calendar: Veröffentlichungstermin RatingDog Services PMI = 5. Oktober 2026
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Der RatingDog (ehem. Caixin) China Services PMI für September 2026 wurde am 5. Oktober 2026 mit 51,6 Punkten veröffentlicht (Quellen: Reuters via Investing.com, mql5.com Economic Calendar). Das ist ein Anstieg gegenüber 51,4 im August und liegt damit klar über dem Vorhersage-Schwellenwert von 51,5. Die Vorhersage ist eingetreten.
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