💻 Technology · Next Week

Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM) beats Q3 FY2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. USD 1.40 per share (July 29, 2026, after market close)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 21. July 2026 · Predicted for 29. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

65%

Qualcomm reports Q3 FY2026 on July 29 after market close. Consensus: approx. USD 1.40 Non-GAAP EPS — a sharp decline vs. USD 2.29 a year ago (mobile market dynamics, elevated chip inventories). Qualcomm has historically beaten EPS consensus in ~75% of quarters. Edge-AI chips (Snapdragon X Elite for PCs) could be a positive surprise. Headwinds: Arm licensing negotiations, weak China smartphone demand. No Polymarket market found.

Data basis for this prediction

Barchart: Qualcomm Q3 FY2026 Earnings Preview – Non-GAAP-EPS-Konsens ~1,40 USD (2026)
Yahoo Finance: Qualcomm Earnings Date 29. Juli 2026, Konferenz 13:45 Uhr PT (Juni 2026)
MSN/MarketBeat: QCOM Q3 FY2026 – YoY-Rückgang auf ~1,40–1,53 USD erwartet; histor. Beat-Rate ~75 % (2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

Qualcomm meldete am 29. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss einen Non-GAAP EPS von 2,21 USD – weit über dem in der Vorhersage angenommenen Konsens von 1,40 USD, aber knapp unter dem tatsächlichen Marktkonsens von ~2,22–2,23 USD (Quellen: TradingView, Shacknews, Investing.com). Die Vorhersage scheitert auf zwei Ebenen: (1) Der angenommene Konsens von 1,40 USD war massiv falsch – der reale Konsens lag bei ~2,23 USD, was zeigt, dass die Ausgangsprämisse der Vorhersage fundamental fehlerhaft war. (2) Qualcomm verfehlte sogar den echten Konsens um 0,02 USD (EPS-Miss), statt ihn zu schlagen. Umsatz zwar geschlagen (9,95 Mrd. USD vs. ~9,69 Mrd. erwartet), aber EPS-Miss und schwacher Q4-Ausblick (u. a. wegen Apple-Umsatzrückgang und sinkender Handset-Nachfrage) ließen die Aktie im Nachhandel um ~7 % fallen. Quellen: https://www.tradingview.com/news/tradingview:0a5446b7c8471:0-qualcomm-reports-q3-fy2026-revenue-9-95b-gaap-eps-1-87-non-gaap-eps-2-21/ | https://www.shacknews.com/article/150195/qualcomm-qcom-q3-2026-earnings-results

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