Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) beats Q4 FY2026 adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $1.41 per share (July 29, 2026, confirmed by P&G press release)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 25. July 2026
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Predicted for 29. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
P&G Q4 FY2026 consensus EPS stands at $1.41, implying a 4.7% YoY decline. Analyst estimates were revised down 0.8% in the past 30 days, indicating a conservative baseline. P&G historically beats consensus in ~68–72% of quarters. Pricing power in household care segments remains structurally intact. No Polymarket anchor; calibrated against historical beat rate.
Data basis for this prediction
- PG Q4 FY2026 Konsens-EPS: 1,41 USD (–4,7 % yoy), Konsensrevision –0,8 % (Zacks / Yahoo Finance, Juli 2026)
- Procter & Gamble berichtet Q4 FY2026 am 29. Juli 2026, vor Börseneröffnung (Yahoo Finance Earnings Calendar)
- P&G historische EPS-Beat-Rate: ~70 % (Zacks, mehrjährige Auswertung)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
P&G meldete für Q4 FY2026 (29. Juli 2026) einen bereinigten (Core-)EPS von 1,43 USD und übertraf damit den Konsens von 1,41 USD um 0,02 USD (+1,4 %). Die Vorhersage ist eingetreten. Getrieben wurde der Beat vor allem durch Produktivitätseinsparungen, die ungünstige Produkt-Mix-Effekte und höhere Rohstoffkosten mehr als kompensierten. Der Umsatz verfehlte mit 21,2 Mrd. USD knapp die Schätzung von 21,4 Mrd. USD, was die Aktie unter Druck setzte – der EPS-Beat als Kern der Vorhersage war jedoch klar bestätigt. Quellen: P&G Investor Relations (pginvestor.com), TradingView/Zacks, Alphastreet.
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Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
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