Philip Morris International (NYSE: PM) beats Q2 2026 Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $2.04 per share (July 22, 2026, before market open)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 21. July 2026
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Predicted for 22. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
PMI reports Q2 2026 before market open on July 22. Zacks consensus: $2.04 (+6.8% YoY). IQOS volumes accelerating globally; Zil.nova gaining US traction. PMI beat adjusted EPS in all four prior quarters, avg. positive surprise 4.9% — no Polymarket market found, historical beat rate is primary anchor. After a $500M RBH charge, PMI already raised its FY2026 EPS outlook.
Data basis for this prediction
- Zacks/Yahoo Finance: PM Q2-2026-EPS-Konsens 2,04 USD, Ø 4,9 % Überraschung (Stand 21.07.2026)
- PMI hebt FY2026-Ausblick nach RBH-Sonderposten an (StockTitan/PM IR, 2026)
- IQOS-Volumen- und Marktanteilsgewinne weltweit: PMI Q1-2026-Ergebnispräsentation
- PMI 4 aufeinanderfolgende EPS-Beats (Zacks, 21.07.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Philip Morris meldete Q2-2026-EPS von 2,20 USD (bereinigt), deutlich über dem Konsens von ca. 2,04 USD. Quelle: SEC 8-K, MarketScreener, Seeking Alpha (22. Juli 2026).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Bitcoin at $78,136 (September 9, 2026). Kalshi markets assign ~83% probability of BTC touching $100,000 at any point in 2026. Polymarket gives BTC 68% odds to close above $90,000 by year-end. A year-end close above $100,000 (not just a touch) is more demanding: median year-end contract estimates imply ~$81,000. Arguments for >$100k close: historical Q4 seasonality (+49% in Q4 2024, +56% in Q4 2023), ETF inflows, institutional demand. Headwinds: active Fed hiking cycle (~3.75% current funds rate), 10yr yield at 4.86%.