PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ: PYPL) beats Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus of $1.31 per share — earnings report October 27, 2026 before market open (confirmed by PayPal Investor Relations or Bloomberg by October 27, 2026, 12:00 ET)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 25. October 2026
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Predicted for 27. October 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
PayPal reports Q3-FY2026 results before market open on October 27, 2026; analyst EPS consensus is $1.31. No dedicated Polymarket market found; PYPL's historical EPS beat rate is ~74% over the past eight quarters. Drivers: branded checkout growth and Venmo monetization; strong transaction volume in the payments market in Q3. No specific market odds; calibrated via historical beat frequency with slight discount for macro uncertainty.
Data basis for this prediction
- Alphastreet / StockTitan Earnings Calendar: PYPL Q3 FY2026, 27. Okt 2026 vor Öffnung, EPS-Konsens $1,31
- Futunn Earnings Preview: PayPal Q3 FY2026 Berichtsdatum bestätigt (Stand 23. Okt 2026)
- MarketBeat: PYPL historische Beat-Rate ~74 %, letzte 8 Quartale (Stand Okt 2026)
- OpeningBellDaily: Earnings-Ausblick KW 44 2026 — PayPal unter den wichtigsten Berichten (Stand 24. Okt 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
PayPal meldete am 27. Oktober 2026 vor Börseneröffnung einen Non-GAAP-EPS von 1,45 USD für Q3 FY2026 – ein klares Beat gegenüber dem Konsens von 1,31 USD (+10,7 %). Das Unternehmen hob zudem die Jahresprognose auf ca. 5,60 USD EPS an. Treiber waren Venmo-Wachstum und Financial-Services-Beiträge. Lediglich der Umsatz (8,58 Mrd. USD) verfehlte die Erwartungen (8,71 Mrd. USD) leicht – die Vorhersage bezog sich aber explizit nur auf das EPS-Beat. Quellen: Alphastreet ('PayPal Holdings Tops Q3 2026 Profit Forecast With $1.45 EPS'), Yahoo Finance/Zacks, SEC Form 8-K.
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Applied Materials has beaten the EPS consensus in all four of its last reported quarters, with an average earnings surprise of +3.5%. The company's own Q4 guidance is $3.82–$4.22 per share; consensus at $4.06 sits near the midpoint, reflecting classic conservative management framing. Revenue is estimated at $10.30B (+51% YoY) — TSMC and Samsung have not pulled back H2 2026 capex plans. No Polymarket market directly available; a 100% beat streak over 4 quarters with a positive guidance range implies 70–75% probability. Risk: supply chain delays or expanded US export controls on advanced chips could force a Q5 inventory build.
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PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.
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CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.