OpenAI completes its IPO by December 31, 2026 — shares begin trading on NYSE or NASDAQ for the first time (confirmed by SEC listing or OpenAI press release)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 20. July 2026
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Predicted for 31. December 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
OpenAI filed a confidential S-1 with the SEC on June 8, 2026. Polymarket prices the completion of an OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026 at 71% (~$3 billion in trading volume on this question). The public S-1 filing is expected by August 31, 2026 in an existing Cassandra open prediction. Typical timeline: public S-1 → 30-day SEC review → 2–3 week roadshow → listing. Scenario: S-1 by August 31 → listing October–December 2026 is realistic. Risk: market uncertainty (Iran escalation, Brent volatility), regulatory delays, or OpenAI's own hesitation ('hasn't decided on timing'). Own estimate: 60% (slightly more conservative than Polymarket due to tight timing requirements).
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket: 71% für OpenAI IPO bis 31.12.2026 (ca. 3 Mrd. USD Marktvolumen) – Stand 20.07.2026
- LetsDatascience.com: 'Polymarket prices OpenAI IPO at 71¢' – Stand 20.07.2026
- SEC EDGAR: OpenAI vertraulicher S-1 eingereicht 8. Juni 2026 (bestätigt durch Medienberichte)
- Polymarket: OpenAI $1T+ IPO vor 2027 ebenfalls bei 71% gehandelt – Stand 20.07.2026
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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