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📈 Economy · Next Month

Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) beats the adjusted Q2 FY2027 EPS consensus of USD 2.10 per share at the August 25, 2026 earnings report

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 11. July 2026 · Predicted for 25. August 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
82%

Nvidia reports Q2 FY2027 results on August 25, 2026 (after close). EPS consensus: ~USD 2.10 (TipRanks, Yahoo Finance, MarketBeat, as of July 2026). Nvidia guided Q2 revenue of $91B ±2% and 75% gross margin. China data-center revenue is excluded from guidance — a potential upside surprise. Historically Nvidia beats the EPS consensus in >90% of quarters, often materially (WallStreetZen). No Polymarket market found; own assessment based on historical beat rate: 82%.

Data basis for this prediction
  • TipRanks / Yahoo Finance: NVDA Q2-FY2027 EPS-Konsens ~2,10 USD (Stand Juli 2026)
  • Nvidia offiziell: Q2-FY2027 Umsatz-Guidance 91 Mrd. USD ±2 %, Bruttomarge 75 %
  • MarketBeat / WallStreetHorizon: Earnings-Termin 25. August 2026 nach Börsenschluss
  • WallStreetZen: Nvidia historische EPS-Schlagrate >90 % (letzte 10 Quartale)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
Nvidia meldete Q2-FY2027-Ergebnisse am 26. August 2026 (nach Börsenschluss, einen Tag nach dem genannten Datum – was dem üblichen Berichtsrhythmus entspricht). Der tatsächliche bereinigte EPS betrug 2,22 USD und übertraf den Konsens von ca. 2,09–2,13 USD damit deutlich um ~6 %. Auch der Umsatz übertraf mit 96,2 Mrd. USD die Erwartungen von ~92 Mrd. USD. Quellen: CNBC Live-Updates Q2 FY2027 (cnbc.com/2026/08/26), MarketBeat Earnings Report (marketbeat.com), 247wallst.com NVDA Earnings History.
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DAX 40 (XETRA) closes above 26,000 points on 30 September 2026 (confirmed by XETRA closing price or Bloomberg by 30 September 2026)

The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.

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US Federal Reserve raises the Federal Funds target range by 25 basis points on 16 September 2026 (FOMC decision)

Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.

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Bitcoin (BTC/USD spot) closes above $100,000 per unit on December 31, 2026 (confirmed by Bloomberg or CoinGecko by December 31, 2026)

Bitcoin at $78,136 (September 9, 2026). Kalshi markets assign ~83% probability of BTC touching $100,000 at any point in 2026. Polymarket gives BTC 68% odds to close above $90,000 by year-end. A year-end close above $100,000 (not just a touch) is more demanding: median year-end contract estimates imply ~$81,000. Arguments for >$100k close: historical Q4 seasonality (+49% in Q4 2024, +56% in Q4 2023), ETF inflows, institutional demand. Headwinds: active Fed hiking cycle (~3.75% current funds rate), 10yr yield at 4.86%.

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