💻 Technology · Next Month

NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) is the world's largest company by market capitalization on July 31, 2026 (ahead of Apple Inc.)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 17. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

82%

Polymarket assigns NVIDIA an 82% probability of holding the largest market cap at end of July; Apple stands at 11%. Trading volume in this market exceeds $10 million. The AI infrastructure boom and NVIDIA's record datacenter GPU demand underpin valuation leadership. The existing open platform prediction (NVDA beats Q2-FY2027 EPS consensus on August 26) supports the positive sentiment. Only an exogenous shock (NVDA-specific scandal, massive chip export ban) or a spectacular Apple recovery would flip this.

Data basis for this prediction

Polymarket: 'Largest company end of July 2026' – NVDA 82 %, AAPL 11 % (Stand Juli 2026, >10 Mio. USD Volumen)
Bloomberg: NVIDIA Datacenter-GPU-Nachfrage Q2 2026 auf Rekordhöhe (Stand Juli 2026)
Polymarket: Gesamtvolumen Technologie-Märkte Juli 2026

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

NVIDIA war am 31. Juli 2026 tatsächlich das Unternehmen mit der weltweit größten Marktkapitalisierung (~4,86 Bio. USD), knapp vor Apple (~4,51 Bio. USD). Der Weg dahin war jedoch turbulenter als die 82%-Wahrscheinlichkeit suggerierte: Apple überholte NVIDIA am 17. Juli 2026 erstmals seit ~15 Monaten (Quellen: CNBC, Forbes, Yahoo Finance, Al Jazeera) und hielt den Spitzenplatz zeitweise auch am 27. Juli. Erst nach Apples enttäuschenden Quartalsergebnissen (Guidance: begrenztes Umsatzwachstum Q3 aufgrund von Supply-Engpässen) fiel Apples Kurs stark, während NVIDIA +2,9% zulegte und die Führung vier Tage nach Apples letztem Spitzenplatz (27. Juli) zurückeroberte – exakt am 31. Juli 2026. Quellen: CNBC 2026-07-27, Bloomingbit/iTiger (Nvidia retakes #1 after four days), WebSearch-Synthese NVDA $4,86T vs AAPL $4,51T per 31.07.2026.

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