⚽ Sports · Next Month

Novak Djokovic (SRB, seed No. 4) reaches the quarterfinals of the 2026 US Open Men's Singles (ca. September 8–9, USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, confirmed by USTA or ATP)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 29. August 2026 · Predicted for 9. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

42%

Djokovic is seeded 4th and faces Mariano Navone in R1. Polymarket gives Djokovic 11% to win the title (Alcaraz 28%, Zverev 23%), implying a ~35–45% probability of reaching the quarterfinal. The field is more open following Sinner's withdrawal (knee injury). Djokovic is 39 and has had recent injury issues, dampening the estimate to ~42%. The existing open prediction covers only his R16 entry (ca. Sep 6) — the QF step is uncovered.

Data basis for this prediction

Polymarket Men's US Open 2026: Djokovic 11%, Alcaraz 28%, Zverev 23% (Stand: August 2026)
US Open 2026 Draw: Djokovic (S4) vs. Mariano Navone Runde 1 (Yahoo Sports, 27. August 2026)
Jannik Sinner Rückzug wegen Knieverletzung — Feld geöffnet (CBS Sports, August 2026)
US Open 2026 Spielplan: QF ca. 8.–9. September 2026 (USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center)

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Novak Djokovic (Nr. 4) schied in der 1. Runde gegen Mariano Navone aus – frühestes Grand-Slam-Aus seit über 20 Jahren. Viertelfinale unmöglich. Bestätigt durch Yahoo Sports.

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48%

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