Nikkei 225 (TSE) closes below 65,500 points on July 22, 2026 — correction continues
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 18. July 2026
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Predicted for 22. July 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
The Nikkei 225 suffered its third-largest single-day point loss on Friday, July 17, 2026 (−2,694 points, −4.0%) and closed at approx. 64,141 (intraday low below 63,000). Triggers: global AI sector panic from reports of delays in Alphabet's AI models (global chip selloff) plus escalating US-Iran tensions. The index is now in technical correction territory (>10% below its June high). To recover above 65,500 by July 22, 2026 (Tuesday; next open trading sessions: July 21 and 22), a +2.1% bounce in 2 trading days would be needed — possible but unlikely amid continued market uncertainty (Iran crisis, AI sentiment). No direct Nikkei market on Polymarket. Own estimate: 70% probability of closing below 65,500.
Data basis for this prediction
- Nikkei 225 Schlusskurs 17. Juli 2026: ca. 64.141 Punkte (−2.694 Pkt, −4,0%), drittgrößter Tagesverlust (Vantage Markets, Bloomberg 17.07.2026)
- Auslöser: Alphabet-KI-Verzögerungsberichte & US-Iran-Eskalation — globaler Chip-Selloff (Bloomberg, 17.07.2026)
- Nikkei im technischen Korrekturterritorium: >10% unter Junihoch (BigGo Finance, 17.07.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Nikkei 225 schloss am 22. Juli 2026 bei 66.188,72 Punkten (-0,07 %) – weit über 65.500; keine Korrektur unter diese Marke. Quelle: Yahoo Finance / Investtech.
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