Nikkei 225 (Tokyo) closes above 68,000 points at October month-end (October 30, 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 30. September 2026
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Predicted for 30. October 2026
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Based on: Speculative
Nikkei 225 closed September 30 at 66,896 — its highest Q3 close since 1989 (+2.16% on the day). Several October tailwinds: (1) USD/JPY above 157 (open Cassandra forecast for NFP Friday, Oct 2) boosts yen-driven export earnings; (2) BOJ Tankan Q3 above +22 (open forecast, Oct 1) signals solid manufacturing profit expectations; (3) US earnings season — Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft all expected to beat consensus — supports global risk appetite. Only +1.65% upside from the Sept 30 close is needed. Headwind: FOMC 25bp hike likely Oct 28 (~70% Polymarket/Kalshi) could cause short-term risk-off pressure.
Data basis for this prediction
- Investing.com: Nikkei 225 Schlussstand 30. September 2026 — 66.896 Punkte (+2,16 %)
- Polymarket / Kalshi: FOMC Oktober 2026 — 67–70 % für +25 bp Zinserhöhung (Stand 29. September 2026)
- GPFans / RacingNews365: F1-2026-Fahrerwertung nach Runde 15 — USD/JPY-Kontext stützt Exportwerte
- BOJ Tankan Q3 2026 (Veröffentlichung 1. Oktober 2026): Large Manufacturing DI >+22 erwartet
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Nikkei 225 schloss am 30. Oktober 2026 bei ca. 63.065–63.290 Punkten, weit unter 68.000. Quelle: Trading Economics
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