Nikkei 225 (N225) closes below 62,500 points on September 18, 2026, following the Bank of Japan rate decision (Tokyo closing price, confirmed by Nikkei.co.jp or Bloomberg by September 18, 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 13. September 2026
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Predicted for 18. September 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
The Nikkei 225 closed at 64,011 on September 13, 2026 (−1.93% intraday), already under pressure from yen strength (USD/JPY: 153.55; −0.52% today). A separate open prediction on this platform anticipates a BOJ rate hike of 25bp to 1.25% on September 18. Historically, BOJ rate hikes cause yen appreciation and Nikkei losses via the export channel: in July 2024, the Nikkei fell around 6.7% on the BOJ decision day. A threshold of 62,500 implies a further 2.4% decline from today's level — consistent with a moderate market reaction. No Polymarket/Metaculus market available; calibrated via historical BOJ reaction patterns.
Data basis for this prediction
- Nikkei 225 Schlusskurs 13.09.2026: 64.011 Punkte (−1,93 %); Yahoo Finance / Nikkei.co.jp
- USD/JPY 13.09.2026: 153,55 (−0,52 %); EUR/JPY: 178,57 (FXMacroData, 13.09.2026)
- BOJ-Zinsentscheid 18.09.2026 erwartet: +25 bp auf 1,25 % (separate offene Plattform-Vorhersage)
- BOJ Juli 2024 Reaktionsmuster: Nikkei −6,7 % am Entscheidungstag (Bloomberg-Archiv)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Nikkei 225 schloss am 18.09.2026 bei ca. 64.476 Punkten – weit über 62.500. Quelle: Trading Economics / Investing.com.
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