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New York Yankees win the 2026 MLB ALDS against Tampa Bay Rays (Best-of-5, concluded by October 10, 2026, confirmed via MLB.com or AP by October 11, 2026)
Probability
62%
The Yankees reached the ALDS by sweeping Boston in the Wild Card round and face the Tampa Bay Rays — owners of the best regular-season record in the American League 2026. Series odds: Yankees −120, Rays +100 (bookmakers imply ~54.5% for Yankees series win). Game 1 was played October 3 in Tampa (Rays −135 favored). Per open Cassandra prediction, the Yankees win Game 2 (October 5) — with a 2-0 lead or 1-1 tie after Game 2, series probability shifts further toward New York. The Yankees' pitching rotation (Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodón, Max Fried) is considered nominally deeper than Tampa's. No explicit Polymarket market found for the series outcome.
Data basis for this prediction
- ALDS 2026 Series-Odds: Yankees −120 / Rays +100 (~54,5 % Yankees) — FoxSports / BleacherReport, 4. Oktober 2026
- Spiel-1-Odds 3. Oktober 2026: Yankees +112, Rays −135 — winnersandwhiners.com / lasvegassportsbetting.com
- Tampa Bay Rays: beste Regular-Season-Bilanz AL 2026 — ESPN; Yankees via Wild-Card-Sweep über Boston Red Sox
- Yankees ALDS Game 2 Sieg: offene Cassandra-Vorhersage (5. Oktober 2026)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Tampa Bay Rays sweepten die New York Yankees 3:0 in der ALDS 2026 (Spiele am 3., 5. und 7. Oktober). Yankees verloren die Serie. Quellen: ESPN Game-Recap, Baseball-Reference