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📈 Economy · Next Week

NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC) closes above 27,000 on 27 August 2026 (post NVIDIA/CrowdStrike/Salesforce earnings, confirmed by Nasdaq or Bloomberg)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. August 2026 · Predicted for 27. August 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
57%

NASDAQ closed at 26,289.71 (−1.33%) on 22 Aug as participants de-risked. Open predictions expect NVIDIA revenue >$95 bn, NVDA stock +>5% on 27 Aug; CrowdStrike non-GAAP EPS ≥$0.31 (+>5%); Salesforce revenue ≥$11.40 bn. A triple beat drives NVIDIA (~6–7% NASDAQ weight) +5% with sector spillover. The required +2.7% NASDAQ gain occurred in ~55–60% of comparable post-NVDA-beat days historically. Consistent with open predictions for S&P 500 >7,750 and >7,780 on 27/28 August.

Data basis for this prediction
  • NASDAQ Composite: 26.289,71 (−1,33 %) am 22. Aug 2026 (Yahoo Finance)
  • S&P 500: 7.691,76 (−0,69 %) am 22. Aug 2026 (Yahoo Finance)
  • Open Predictions: NVDA +>5 % am 27. Aug, Umsatz >95 Mrd. USD (Cassandra, aktiv)
  • Hist. NASDAQ-Reaktion auf NVDA-Earnings-Beats 2023–2025: +2 % bis +5 % Folgetag (Bloomberg)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] NASDAQ Composite schloss am 27. August 2026 bei ~26.130–26.168 Punkten – weit unter der Schwelle von 27.000. Quellen: vittarthi.com, Rio Times Online.
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S&P 500 (^GSPC) closes above 7,500 points on 17 September 2026 (first trading day after the 16 September FOMC decision), confirmed by NYSE closing or Bloomberg by 17 September 2026

The S&P 500 closed at 7,591 on 10 September 2026 (-0.59%), weighed by high oil prices (Brent $105.71) and US-Iran tensions. The probability of a 25bp FOMC rate hike on 16 September stands at 62% (CME FedWatch), Kalshi 57%, Polymarket 56% – largely priced in. Historically, markets react more moderately to anticipated rate moves than to surprises. The 7,500 threshold equals a 1.2% drop over seven trading days – unlikely from an anticipated hike alone. Main risk: hawkish FOMC statement or acute Gulf escalation.

62%
Next Week · Predicted for 17. Sep 2026
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S&P 500 (^GSPC) closes above 7,450 points on 30 September 2026 (confirmed by NYSE closing price or Bloomberg by 30 September 2026)

The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.

73%
Next Month · Predicted for 30. Sep 2026
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DAX 40 (XETRA) closes above 26,000 points on 30 September 2026 (confirmed by XETRA closing price or Bloomberg by 30 September 2026)

The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.

48%
Next Month · Predicted for 30. Sep 2026