Nasdaq 100 (NDX) closes above 30,000 points on 31 October 2026 (confirmed via NASDAQ closing price or Bloomberg by 31 October 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 15. September 2026
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Predicted for 31. October 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Nasdaq 100 closed at 28,872.85 on 14 September 2026 (day high 28,891.85). After the anticipated FOMC sell-off on 16 September (existing prediction: NDX <28,500 on FOMC day) and short-term consolidation, the October Q3 earnings season will be pivotal: NVIDIA, Meta, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft all report in October 2026. Strong AI-infrastructure demand (NVDA Q3 >$110B already an open prediction) and robust cloud revenues (AWS >37%, Azure >42%, Google Cloud >$17B) could push the tech-heavy index ~3.9% higher to breach 30,000. The existing prediction 'S&P 500 >7,900 on 30 October' implies a positive market backdrop through month-end. No Polymarket market found for this specific level; calibrated to 45%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Schlusskurs 14.09.2026: 28.872,85 Punkte, Tageshoch 28.891,85 (NASDAQ.com / Yahoo Finance)
- Bestehende Cassandra-Prognose: S&P 500 >7.900 am 30.10.2026 – positiver Marktausblick Oktober
- Q3-Earnings-Season Oktober 2026: NVIDIA, Meta, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft melden (Bloomberg Earnings Calendar)
- Fed-Zinspause nach September-Hike erwartet; Wachstumsmultiplikatoren bei Technologieaktien profitieren (Reuters/Bloomberg, September 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
Der 31. Oktober 2026 war ein Samstag (kein Handelstag). Der letzte Handelstag davor war Freitag, der 30. Oktober 2026, an dem der NDX bei 28.384,85 Punkten schloss – deutlich unter der 30.000-Marke. Obwohl der NDX im Oktober 2026 zwischenzeitlich über 30.000 stieg (Rekordhoch am 6. Oktober: 31.224,47), folgte bis Monatsende ein Rückgang von ca. 9%. Quelle: Investing.com / Macrotrends NDX Historical Data Oktober 2026.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Take-Two Interactive reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) results on November 9 after market close. Estimated analyst consensus: approx. -$0.45 EPS (heavy investment cycle around GTA VI and other AAA titles). TTWO has beaten consensus in 6 of the last 8 quarters; strong Recurrent Consumer Spending base (mobile, NBA 2K, GTA Online) consistently delivers positive surprises on cost discipline. Report date confirmed by TipRanks Earnings Calendar (as of Nov 8, 2026). Verification by TTWO Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 ET.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Constellation Energy reports Q3-FY2026 tomorrow (November 9, 2026) before market open. TradingView and Gurufocus put the EPS consensus at $3.90/share, with revenue consensus at $9.23B. CEG has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters — an 87.5% historical beat rate. Driver: Structurally rising nuclear power demand for AI data centers (e.g., Microsoft contracts) boosts reactor utilization and secures stable cash flows. Risk: Stock fell ~9% post-midterm results, reflecting repriced regulatory uncertainty that could overshadow near-term operational strength. Strong fundamentals and consistent beat history nevertheless support another consensus beat.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Walmart has beaten EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters. The official consensus is $0.64/share — identical to the top of management guidance ($0.62–$0.64). Analysts average $0.72 (range $0.70–$0.73), anticipating another structural beat. Drivers: Robust US consumer (October CPI ~3.5–3.7%; September retail sales +0.8% MoM), ongoing grocery market share gains, and strong e-commerce and advertising growth. Risk: Management lowered full-year guidance after Q2; macro headwinds from elevated prices could compress volume mixes. The consistent beat history and structural tailwinds prevail.