Nasdaq-100 (^NDX) closes above 31,000 points on September 25, 2026 (confirmed by NASDAQ closing price or Bloomberg by September 25, 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 23. September 2026
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Predicted for 25. September 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
The Nasdaq-100 closed at 30,662 on September 22, 2026 (Google Finance). Breaching the 31,000 level requires a ~1.1% gain within 2 trading days. Potentially supportive: the expected SNB rate cut on September 25 (already priced into open markets) and robust US Flash PMI Composite of 53.6 for September (S&P Global, September 23, 2026). Working against: the US PCE core inflation report due September 26, which open markets price potentially at >3.3% YoY — a headwind for rate-sensitive tech. No specific Polymarket market found for this threshold; based on historical 2-day NDX volatility (~0.7% daily swing), probability is approximately 37%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Google Finance: Nasdaq-100 Schlusskurs 22.09.2026: 30.662 Punkte
- S&P Global Flash US Composite PMI September 2026: 53,6 (veröffentlicht 23.09.2026)
- KuCoin/Polymarket: Kein aktiver NDX-31.000-Markt; Fed-Rate-Hike-Markt Sep 2026 bei 53 % (23.09.2026)
- FXStreet: S&P Global PMI highlights US economic resilience September 2026 (23.09.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Nasdaq-100 (NDX) schloss am 24.09.2026 bei ca. 30.452 Punkten; Intraday 25.09. bleibt weit unter 31.000. Abstand ~548 Punkte (+1,8%) – ein solcher Tagessprung ohne bekannten Katalysator ausgeschlossen (Quelle: Nasdaq Historical Data).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Take-Two Interactive reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) results on November 9 after market close. Estimated analyst consensus: approx. -$0.45 EPS (heavy investment cycle around GTA VI and other AAA titles). TTWO has beaten consensus in 6 of the last 8 quarters; strong Recurrent Consumer Spending base (mobile, NBA 2K, GTA Online) consistently delivers positive surprises on cost discipline. Report date confirmed by TipRanks Earnings Calendar (as of Nov 8, 2026). Verification by TTWO Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 ET.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Constellation Energy reports Q3-FY2026 tomorrow (November 9, 2026) before market open. TradingView and Gurufocus put the EPS consensus at $3.90/share, with revenue consensus at $9.23B. CEG has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters — an 87.5% historical beat rate. Driver: Structurally rising nuclear power demand for AI data centers (e.g., Microsoft contracts) boosts reactor utilization and secures stable cash flows. Risk: Stock fell ~9% post-midterm results, reflecting repriced regulatory uncertainty that could overshadow near-term operational strength. Strong fundamentals and consistent beat history nevertheless support another consensus beat.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Walmart has beaten EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters. The official consensus is $0.64/share — identical to the top of management guidance ($0.62–$0.64). Analysts average $0.72 (range $0.70–$0.73), anticipating another structural beat. Drivers: Robust US consumer (October CPI ~3.5–3.7%; September retail sales +0.8% MoM), ongoing grocery market share gains, and strong e-commerce and advertising growth. Risk: Management lowered full-year guidance after Q2; macro headwinds from elevated prices could compress volume mixes. The consistent beat history and structural tailwinds prevail.