Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) reports Q3-FY2026 total net revenues above USD 20.5 billion (earnings report October 14, 2026, confirmed by Morgan Stanley Investor Relations or Bloomberg by October 15, 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 2. October 2026
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Predicted for 14. October 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
The analyst consensus for Morgan Stanley's Q3 FY2026 stands at $20.52–20.7 billion in total net revenues (EPS consensus: $3.12–3.13 vs. $2.80 in Q3 2025, +11–12% YoY). The $20.5 billion threshold sits just below the consensus midpoint. Morgan Stanley benefits in 2026 from strong capital markets activity (M&A boom, IPO recovery), a solid asset management division, and wealth management growth. No explicit prediction market odds available; banks have met or exceeded consensus estimates in approximately 60–65% of cases over the last eight quarters, supporting the probability at this moderate threshold.
Data basis for this prediction
- TipRanks.com: Morgan Stanley Q3 2026 Earnings — Konsens 20,52 Mrd. USD, EPS 3,12 USD (Stand 2. Oktober 2026)
- Hudson Labs: MS Q3 FY2026 Earnings Preview — Konsens 20,7 Mrd. USD (Stand 2. Oktober 2026)
- Benzinga: 'Morgan Stanley Earnings Are Imminent' — Analystenschätzungen, EPS 3,10 USD (Stand 2. Oktober 2026)
- JorgAI: Q3 2026 Earnings Season Dates — Morgan Stanley 14. Oktober 2026 (Stand 2. Oktober 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
Morgan Stanley meldete am 14. Oktober 2026 Gesamtnettoerlöse von 20,34 Mrd. USD für Q3 2026 (SEC Form 8-K, TradingView, MiniChart), was die Schwelle von 20,5 Mrd. USD verfehlt. Obwohl die Ergebnisse die Wall-Street-Schätzungen von ~19,93 Mrd. USD übertrafen (+11,6 % YoY) und ein starkes Ergebnis darstellen, blieb der tatsächliche Umsatz ~160 Mio. USD unterhalb der prognostizierten Schwelle. EPS lag bei 3,03 USD (vs. vorhergesagtem Konsens von 3,12–3,13 USD). Quellen: SEC Edgar (a3q26msearningsrelease.htm), TradingView News, MiniChart.com.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Take-Two Interactive reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) results on November 9 after market close. Estimated analyst consensus: approx. -$0.45 EPS (heavy investment cycle around GTA VI and other AAA titles). TTWO has beaten consensus in 6 of the last 8 quarters; strong Recurrent Consumer Spending base (mobile, NBA 2K, GTA Online) consistently delivers positive surprises on cost discipline. Report date confirmed by TipRanks Earnings Calendar (as of Nov 8, 2026). Verification by TTWO Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 ET.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Constellation Energy reports Q3-FY2026 tomorrow (November 9, 2026) before market open. TradingView and Gurufocus put the EPS consensus at $3.90/share, with revenue consensus at $9.23B. CEG has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters — an 87.5% historical beat rate. Driver: Structurally rising nuclear power demand for AI data centers (e.g., Microsoft contracts) boosts reactor utilization and secures stable cash flows. Risk: Stock fell ~9% post-midterm results, reflecting repriced regulatory uncertainty that could overshadow near-term operational strength. Strong fundamentals and consistent beat history nevertheless support another consensus beat.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Walmart has beaten EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters. The official consensus is $0.64/share — identical to the top of management guidance ($0.62–$0.64). Analysts average $0.72 (range $0.70–$0.73), anticipating another structural beat. Drivers: Robust US consumer (October CPI ~3.5–3.7%; September retail sales +0.8% MoM), ongoing grocery market share gains, and strong e-commerce and advertising growth. Risk: Management lowered full-year guidance after Q2; macro headwinds from elevated prices could compress volume mixes. The consistent beat history and structural tailwinds prevail.