Monster Beverage (NASDAQ: MNST) beats the Q2 2026 EPS analyst consensus of USD 0.58 on July 30, 2026
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 11. July 2026
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Predicted for 30. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Monster Beverage reports Q2 2026 results on July 30, 2026 (after market close). Analyst consensus EPS is USD 0.58. In Q1 2026 Monster beat the USD 0.5354 estimate by +8.33%; in Q4 2025 it exceeded consensus by +6.25%. Q1 2026 revenue surged 26.9% to USD 2.35 billion — an unusually strong pace pointing to sustained consumer demand and distribution gains. A 2-for-1 stock split is also pending (record date July 24, distribution August 10), typically accompanied by solid fundamentals. No prediction market found. The combination of a consistent beat track record and growth momentum yields an estimated beat probability of 70%.
Data basis for this prediction
- MNST Q1 2026: EPS 0,58 USD (Konsens 0,5354 USD, Beat +8,33 %); Umsatz 2,35 Mrd. USD (+26,9 %) (StockTitan, Mai 2026)
- MNST Q4 2025: EPS-Beat +6,25 % (Investing.com earnings transcript)
- MNST Q2 2026 Berichtstermin 30. Juli 2026; Konsens-EPS 0,58 USD (MarketBeat / TipRanks)
- MNST 2:1-Split: Record Date 24. Juli 2026, Distribution 10. August 2026 (GlobeNewswire, 8. Juli 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Monster Beverage (MNST) meldete Q2 2026 tatsächlich Adjusted EPS von $0,60 gegenüber dem Konsens von $0,58 – ein Beat von +3,6 %. Auch der Umsatz übertraf mit $2,54 Mrd. die Schätzung von $2,43 Mrd. (+5 %). Die Ergebnisse wurden jedoch am 6. August 2026 veröffentlicht, nicht wie vorhergesagt am 30. Juli 2026 (laut Alphastreet-Preview und Stocktitan). Der Kern der Vorhersage – EPS-Beat bei einem Konsens von $0,58 – trat vollumfänglich ein; die Terminangabe war um eine Woche zu früh. Quellen: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/monster-beverage-mnst-surpasses-q2-214006890.html | https://news.alphastreet.com/monster-beverage-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-6-street-expects-0-58-eps/amp/
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
The hard seltzer category has been in structural decline since its 2021 peak. Truly (second-largest brand after White Claw) already reported depletion volume declines of –6% to –9% YoY in Q1–Q2 FY2026. Drivers of ongoing pressure: market saturation, competition from RTD cocktails and FMBs, growth of non-alcoholic alternatives. Boston Beer itself cited 'continued category headwinds' for Hard Seltzer in recent guidance documents. A Q3 2026 reversal without external catalysts (product relaunch, price cut) is highly unlikely.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
The global beer market faces structural volume pressure in North America, collapse of the hard seltzer segment (Topo Chico, Coors Seltzer), and growing non-alcoholic competition. The energy price explosion (EU TTF +136% YoY, September 2026) increases production costs. ECB at 2.50% and Fed in rate-hiking mode weigh on household incomes and consumption. Comparable players Diageo, Pernod Ricard, and Brown-Forman are already flagged with organic revenue declines in open predictions. Molson Coors' mainstream brands (Coors Light, Miller Lite) carry higher price resilience than premium spirits — hence moderate calibration at 52%.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
Brown-Forman (Jack Daniel's ~40% of revenue, Woodford Reserve, Old Forester) faces the same global premium whiskey downturn as Diageo and Pernod Ricard: distributor destocking, stagnant US domestic demand, weakness in Europe and Asia-Pacific. Fiscal year runs May–April; H1 FY2027 covers May–October 2026, results typically released in early December. IWSR 2026 confirms ongoing global American whiskey volume weakness. Open platform predictions for both Diageo and Pernod Ricard show the same organic decline pattern. No Polymarket market found for BF.B. Assessment: ~65% probability of organic decline.