MNI Chicago Business Barometer September 2026 remains in contraction zone below 50.0 points
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 29. September 2026
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Predicted for 30. September 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
The MNI Chicago Business Barometer for September 2026 is released on September 30, 2026. In August, the index collapsed dramatically from 57.6 to 47.1 points — consensus expected 59.0 — marking the first contraction reading since April 2026 (RTTNews, Aug. 31, 2026). A full recovery above 50 within a single month is historically rare: the Chicago PMI exhibits higher regional volatility and is known to diverge from national ISM. The latter is forecast above 55.0 points (Cassandra, October 1) but reflects national conditions, not the Greater Chicago region specifically. No prediction market for Chicago PMI available; calibration from historical post-collapse reversal dynamics.
Data basis for this prediction
- Chicago PMI August 2026: 47,1 Punkte (Kontraktion) — Konsenserwartung 59,0 (RTTNews, 31. Aug. 2026)
- Chicago PMI Juli 2026: 57,6 Punkte — monatlicher Einbruch von 10,5 Punkten
- ISM Manufacturing September 2026: Cassandra-Prognose >55,0 (nationales Pendant, 1. Okt. 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] MNI Chicago Business Barometer stieg im September 2026 auf 58,8 Punkte (von 47,1 im August) – klar im Expansionsbereich über 50. Quelle: MNI Markets / RTTNews.
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