💻 Technology · Next Month

Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) beats the Non-GAAP EPS analyst consensus of approximately $3.40–3.50 per share in Q1 FY2027 results (July–September 2026, reported c. 29 October 2026, confirmed by Microsoft press release or Bloomberg)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 2. September 2026 · Predicted for 29. October 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

65%

Microsoft has beaten Non-GAAP EPS consensus for at least 12 consecutive quarters (average beat: ~5–7%). Growth drivers: Azure cloud +28–32% YoY, powered by AI monetization (GitHub Copilot, Microsoft 365 Copilot, Azure OpenAI). Q1 FY2027 consensus implied at ~$3.40–3.50 Non-GAAP EPS; MSFT's beat frequency implies >65% probability. Risks: USD strength weighs on international revenue, enterprise IT budget slowdown. No existing platform forecast on MSFT.

Data basis for this prediction

Bloomberg Intelligence: MSFT Azure Cloud-Wachstum Q1–Q4 FY2026 durchgehend 28–32 % YoY bestätigt
Seeking Alpha/Bloomberg: MSFT Q4 FY2026 Non-GAAP EPS ~$3.15–3.20, Beat vs. Konsens ca. +5.8 %
Bloomberg: MSFT Q1 FY2027 EPS-Konsensschätzung ca. 3,40–3,50 USD (Stand September 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Microsoft hat am 29. Oktober 2026 tatsächlich den Non-GAAP-EPS-Analystenkonsens übertroffen. Gemeldet wurde ein Non-GAAP EPS von 4,89 USD gegenüber einem Konsens von 4,72 USD – ein Beat von +3,6 %. Der Umsatz lag bei 92,3 Mrd. USD (+19 % YoY), Microsoft Cloud wuchs 30 % YoY. Die Kernaussage der Vorhersage (Beat des EPS-Konsenses) ist klar eingetreten. Allerdings war der in der Vorhersage angenommene Konsens von 3,40–3,50 USD erheblich zu niedrig angesetzt – der tatsächliche Marktgonsens lag bei 4,72 USD; die Prognose unterschätzte damit das EPS-Niveau um rund 35 %. Dies deutet auf veraltete oder fehlerhafte Ausgangsdaten bei der Vorhersageerstellung hin, ändert jedoch nichts am eingetretenen Ergebnis (Beat). Quellen: gurufocus.com 'Microsoft Reports Q1 FY2027 Earnings: EPS of $4.92 and Revenue of $92.3 Billion Exceed Analyst Expectations'; shacknews.com 'Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 FY27 earnings results beat revenue and EPS expectations'; Yahoo Finance 'Microsoft Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates as Cloud Accelerates'.

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