⚽ Sports · Next Year

Mercedes-AMG Petronas F1 Team wins the 2026 Formula 1 Constructors' World Championship (season end approx. November 29, 2026, confirmed by FIA or formula1.com)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 31. August 2026 · Predicted for 29. November 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

76%

After the Hungarian GP (Round 11, July 26, 2026), Mercedes-AMG leads with 379 points ahead of Scuderia Ferrari HP (307 pts, −72) and McLaren (220 pts, −159). The 72-point lead over Ferrari equals approximately three race wins with 12 rounds remaining — a comfortable cushion. Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes) also leads the Drivers' Championship, concentrating team resources behind him. Historically, teams leading by more than 60 points after 11 rounds win the WCC in over 80% of cases. Implied market probability: ~75%.

Data basis for this prediction

F1 WCC-Tabelle nach Runde 11 (Ungarn-GP, 26.07.2026): Mercedes 379 – Ferrari 307 – McLaren 220 – Red Bull 177 (racingnews365.com, gpblog.com, total-motorsport.com)
Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes) führt Fahrerwertung mit 219 Punkten an, +50 vor Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari) (racingnews365.com, Forbes, Juli 2026)
F1 2026 Saisonkalender: 23 Rennen, Saisonabschluss ca. 29. November 2026 (formula1.com)
Historische WCC-Konversionsrate: >80 % bei 60+ Punkten Führung nach 11 Rennen (Motorsport-Statistik, racingstats.net)

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

Related Predictions

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

World Athletics Ultimate Championship Budapest 2026: Nina Kennedy (AUS) wins the Women's Pole Vault final (11 September 2026)

Nina Kennedy is the reigning Olympic champion (Paris 2024 gold ahead of Katie Moon/USA) and co-world champion Budapest 2023. In July 2026 she already cleared 4.80m at the Diamond League meeting in Budapest – a strong form signal at the same venue. Competition from Katie Moon (USA), Sandi Morris (USA) and Alysha Newman (CAN, Olympic bronze 2024). Aggregated bookmaker odds imply ~35–38% for Kennedy.

37%

Tomorrow · Predicted for 11. Sep 2026

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

World Athletics Ultimate Championship Budapest 2026: Marileidy Paulino (DOM) wins the Women's 400m final (12 September 2026)

Marileidy Paulino won gold in the 400m at the Paris 2024 Olympics and is the reigning Olympic champion. Femke Bol (NED), who long dominated, has switched to the 800m in 2026 (her Budapest 2026 entry confirmed in the 800m), so she does not compete in the 400m flat. This clears the path for Paulino: her next serious rivals would be Natalia Kaczmarek (POL, European champion) or Amber Anning (GBR). Aggregated bookmaker odds imply ~48% for Paulino.

48%

Next Week · Predicted for 12. Sep 2026

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

F1 Singapore Airlines Singapore Grand Prix 2026 (Marina Bay Street Circuit, around 21 September 2026): Lando Norris (McLaren, GBR) wins the race

Lando Norris sits P4 in the 2026 drivers' championship (171 points); McLaren is P3 in the constructors' championship (287 points). The Marina Bay street circuit favours high downforce – typical McLaren terrain. Norris won in Singapore in 2024 and knows the track well. Main rivals per bookmaker odds: Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes, already Spain GP winner), Max Verstappen (Red Bull). Aggregated bookmaker odds imply ~22–25% for Norris. Polymarket: no dedicated market found for individual F1 races.

23%

Next Month · Predicted for 21. Sep 2026