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🏛️ Politics · Next Month

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election (September 20, 2026): Die Linke earns more than 5.0% of votes and enters the state parliament (confirmed by Landeswahlleiter MV)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 27. August 2026 · Predicted for 20. September 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
52%

Die Linke received 9.9% in the 2021 MV state election. In Saxony-Anhalt, Pollytix polls show Die Linke at 13% (August 2026) — significantly above 5% despite nationwide decline and BSW competition. MV has a historically deeper left-wing base than western states. The main risk is BSW attrition; however, the BSW >5% open prediction for MV does not imply a Linke collapse. No conflict with existing open MV predictions.

Data basis for this prediction
  • MV Landtagswahl 2021: Die Linke 9,9 % (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern)
  • Pollytix Sachsen-Anhalt Aug 2026: Die Linke 13 % – Referenzpunkt Ostdeutschland (t-online.de, Stand ~Aug 2026)
  • wahlrecht.de: Umfragen Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl 2026 (wahlrecht.de, Stand 27.08.2026)
Verdict: Hit
Die Linke erzielte bei der Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern am 20. September 2026 laut vorläufigem amtlichem Endergebnis 6,5 % der Stimmen und zog damit klar über der 5-%-Hürde in den Landtag ein. Die Partei sicherte sich 5 von 71 Sitzen. Die Vorhersage trat ein. Quellen: landtag-mv.de (vorläufiges amtliches Endergebnis), Wikipedia 'Landtagswahl in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2026', ZDF-Heute Ergebnisgrafiken.
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