Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE: MA) beats adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $4.76 per share in Q2 2026 earnings (30 July 2026, pre-market, confirmed by Mastercard press release)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 23. July 2026
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Predicted for 30. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Mastercard reports Q2 2026 results on July 30, 2026, pre-market. Analyst consensus stands at approximately $4.75–4.77 Non-GAAP EPS (TipRanks/Bloomberg, as of approx. July 21, 2026). Mastercard has beaten EPS estimates for 16 consecutive quarters — a historical beat rate of approximately 82% (FactSet). Key growth drivers: cross-border payment volumes (travel transactions), value-added services, and resilient North American consumer spending. No dedicated Polymarket market found. Calibration based on historical hit rate; downside risk from geopolitical market turbulence (oil price shock above $100 on July 23, 2026) and potential slowdown in transaction volume.
Data basis for this prediction
- MA Q2 2026 Earnings Date: 30. Juli 2026, vor Börseneröffnung (TipRanks/BusinessWire, Stand 23.07.2026)
- MA Analystenkon sens Q2 2026 EPS: 4,75–4,77 USD Non-GAAP (TipRanks, Stand 21.07.2026)
- MA historische EPS-Beat-Rate: ~82 %, 16 Quartale in Folge (FactSet Earnings Insight, Juli 2026)
- MA Q1 2026 Non-GAAP EPS: 3,74 USD (Mastercard Pressemitteilung, 01.05.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Mastercard berichtete am 30. Juli 2026 (vor Börseneröffnung) einen bereinigten Non-GAAP-EPS von 5,04 USD – deutlich über dem Konsens von ca. 4,76–4,77 USD (+5,7 % Beat). Auch der Umsatz übertraf mit 9,28 Mrd. USD die Erwartungen (Konsens: 9,08 Mrd. USD, +14 % YoY). Haupttreiber waren starkes Cross-Border-Volumen und die Value-Added-Services-Sparte (+20 % YoY). Quellen: InsiderFinance (insiderfinance.io/news/mastercard-earnings-beat-q2-2026), Alphastreet (news.alphastreet.com/mastercard-posts-14-revenue-jump-in-q2-2026-beats-on-eps), Investing.com Earnings Call Transcript.
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