⚽ Sports · Next Week

Marc Márquez (Ducati Lenovo) wins the 2026 MotoGP Qatar Grand Prix — Losail International Circuit, 8 November 2026 (confirmed by MotoGP.com or FIM by 9 November 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 5. November 2026 · Predicted for 8. November 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

33%

Márquez leads the 2026 championship after 19 of 22 rounds with 399 points, 44 clear of Jorge Martín (355). Martín suffered a wrist injury in Malaysia and is doubtful for Qatar (MotoGPNews, 4 Nov 2026). MotoGPNews experts nonetheless lean toward Marco Bezzecchi for Sunday's main race; Márquez himself admits he 'often struggled at Lusail'. Without a dedicated race-winner market, probability is derived from championship futures (Márquez 2/5, Bezzecchi 7/1 at bet365), implying a ~30–35% single-race win probability for Márquez. A Martín DNS would further reduce competition.

Data basis for this prediction

grandepremio.com: MotoGP WM-Stand nach Malaysia-GP — Márquez 399, Martín 355, Bezzecchi 332 (Nov 2026)
motogpnews.com: Experten-Prognose Qatar GP 2026 — Bezzecchi Favorit Rennen, Márquez Sprint (4. November 2026)
bet365 / GrandPrixOdds: MotoGP WM 2026 Futures — Márquez 2/5, Bezzecchi 7/1, Martín 22/1 (Stand Nov 2026)

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Den MotoGP-Grand-Prix von Katar 2026 (Hauptrennen, Losail) gewann Fabio Di Giannantonio (Ducati Lenovo VR46) vor Marc Márquez (+0.142s) und Marco Bezzecchi (+0.260s). Márquez hat das Rennen nicht gewonnen. Quelle: motogp.com Ergebnisseite, motorsport.com Qatar GP Results.

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