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Lucas Herbert (Australia) is tied or sole among the top 3 on the 154th Open Championship leaderboard after Round 3 (Royal Birkdale, July 18, 2026)
Probability
55%
Lucas Herbert and Sam Burns share the lead after Round 2 (July 17, 2026) at -9 under par — both shot a 62 on the same day, equaling the course record at Birkdale. Cameron Young follows at -7, Jackson Suber at -6. With a two-shot lead over Young and a larger gap to the broader field, Herbert is in a strong position for Round 3. Bookmakers imply Herbert as a co-favorite for the overall win. However, Major leaderboards are volatile, and Burns as co-leader plus a potentially charging Young could put Herbert under pressure. No specific prediction market data available for top-3-after-R3.
Data basis for this prediction
- Open Championship R2 Leaderboard: Herbert & Burns -9, Young -7, Suber -6 (Golf Monthly / PGA TOUR, 17.07.2026)
- Herbert schoss R2-Rekord-egalisierendes 62, Burns ebenfalls 62 (Golf Monthly / PGA TOUR, 17.07.2026)
- Cut-Linie nach R2: ca. Level Par; McIlroy bei -1 im Feld (Golf Monthly, 17.07.2026)
- Sam Burns: Vize-US-Open 2026, mehrere Top-10-Plätze in 2026 (PGA TOUR, 15.07.2026)
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Lucas Herbert liegt nach Runde 3 (Samstag, 18. Juli) des 154. Open Championship 2026 in Royal Birkdale mit Ryan Fox zusammen auf Platz 1 bei 8 unter Par, damit klar in den Top 3. Quelle: golfmonthly.com Liveticker R3.