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Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NLCS (National League Championship Series) over the San Diego Padres (Best-of-7, starting October 11, 2026, confirmed by MLB.com or AP by October 21, 2026)
Probability
70%
The 2026 National League Championship Series begins October 11 between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres. Polymarket prices the Dodgers at approximately 69.5% to win the NLCS (as of October 2, 2026) — the highest single probability in either LCS. Los Angeles boasts the highest NL payroll, best starter rotation ERA, and dominated the regular season. The Padres upset Milwaukee in the NLDS (also a Cassandra prediction), but in direct comparison have a structurally thinner roster. Polymarket also names the Dodgers as overall World Series favorites at 30%, the highest single-team pick among all remaining teams (Kalshi: 30.4%). The series concludes no later than October 20 (Game 7).
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket: Los Angeles Dodgers gewinnen NLCS 2026 ~69,5% (Stand 2. Oktober 2026, Handelsvolumen >41,6 Mio. USD)
- Polymarket: LA Dodgers World Series 2026 Winner ~30% | Kalshi: ~30,4% — jeweils höchster Einzel-Pick (Stand 2. Oktober 2026)
- Polymarket: San Diego Padres gewinnen NLCS 2026 ~30,5% (Stand 2. Oktober 2026)
- MLB Playoffs 2026: NLCS-Start 11. Oktober 2026, max. 7 Spiele bis 20. Oktober (ESPN MLB Playoff Schedule)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Die San Diego Padres wurden in der NLDS von den Milwaukee Brewers ausgeschieden (3–1). Die NLCS 2026 fand zwischen den LA Dodgers und den Milwaukee Brewers statt – die Brewers gewannen die Serie 4–0 (Sweep) und zogen erstmals seit 1982 in die World Series ein. Die Dodgers haben weder den richtigen Gegner noch gewonnen. Quellen: Baseball Reference, Wikipedia 2026 NLCS.