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LME Aluminium (Spot) trades above $3,100 per tonne on July 18, 2026

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 11. July 2026 · Predicted for 18. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

66%

LME aluminium spot closed at $3,138.5/t on July 11, 2026 (open $3,140, range $3,125.5–$3,165). LME stocks fell below 300,000 t — first time since 2022 — tightening physical supply. Aluminium is the key raw material for beverage cans; producers like Ball Corporation and Crown Holdings are directly exposed. The $3,100 threshold is 1.2% below current price; breach is possible but not the base case given supply tightness. No Polymarket quote for LME-Al.

Data basis for this prediction

metalcharts.org / DiscoveryAlert: LME Al Spot 3.138,5 USD/t, Range 3.125,5–3.165 (11.07.2026)
LME / DiscoveryAlert: LME Al-Lagerbestände < 300.000 t erstmals seit 2022 (Anfang Jul 2026)
TradingEconomics / Worthwill: Al-Futures UK 3.200 USD/t, Rebound vom 4-Monats-Tief (Jul 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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