⚽ Sports · Next Week

Lewis Hamilton wins the 2026 Belgian Grand Prix at Spa-Francorchamps (July 19)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 11. July 2026 · Predicted for 19. July 2026 · Based on: Speculative

Probability

12%

Polymarket shows Hamilton at 12% (July 11, 2026); bookmakers at ~4.50 (~18% implied). Antonelli's win (42% Polymarket) is already a Cassandra prediction. Hamilton holds six Spa victories — more than any active driver (GrandPrix247). Ferrari recently won Silverstone via Leclerc; Hamilton benefits from Ferrari pace and unique Spa expertise. After Antonelli's Silverstone bad luck (wheel shield failure, points DNF), the title leader will be extra motivated. Bookmaker odds imply ~18%, Polymarket 12% — anchor: 12%.

Data basis for this prediction

Polymarket: Hamilton 12 %, Antonelli 42 %, Russell 21 % für GP Belgien (11.07.2026)
StatSniper: Buchmacher Antonelli 1,61, Russell 3,75, Hamilton 4,50 (Belgian GP Preview 2026)
GrandPrix247: Hamilton 6 Spa-Siege – meiste aller aktiven Fahrer
ScuderiaFans: Antonelli Silverstone-Ausfall Radabdeckungsdefekt; Ferrari Leclerc Silverstone-Sieger (Juli 2026)

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Hamilton (Ferrari) beendete das Rennen auf P7, nicht als Sieger. Gewinner war Piastri. Quelle: Formula1.com, Sky Sports.

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