⚽ Sports · Next Week

Lando Norris (McLaren) wins the 2026 Belgian Grand Prix at Spa-Francorchamps (July 19)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. July 2026 · Predicted for 19. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

61%

Lando Norris claimed pole position on July 12, 2026, with teammate Oscar Piastri completing a McLaren front-row lockout at Spa-Francorchamps. Championship leader Kimi Antonelli and Lewis Hamilton were both eliminated in Q1 and will start near the back; Charles Leclerc qualified third, Max Verstappen fourth. With McLaren dominant in qualifying and key rivals compromised, bookmaker odds imply ~60–65% for Norris to win. Historical pole-to-win rate at Spa is 35–50%; a front-row lockout combined with main rivals starting from the back pushes the probability notably higher. Main risks: rain, safety car chaos, mechanical failure.

Data basis for this prediction

GPFans.com Qualifying-Ergebnis Belgien 2026: McLaren-Lockout, Hamilton & Antonelli Q1-Aus (12.07.2026)
Sky Sports F1 Belgian GP 2026: Norris P1, Piastri P2, Leclerc P3, Verstappen P4 (12.07.2026)
F1.com 2026 Drivers Standings: Antonelli 179 Punkte, +25 vor Russell (Stand vor Belgien)
Buchmacherquoten aggregiert: Norris ~60–65 % Rennsieger nach Qualifying (12.07.2026)

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Norris wurde Zweiter (P2), nicht Erster. Piastri gewann das Rennen. Quelle: Formula1.com.

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