⚽ Sports · Tomorrow

Kylian Mbappé scores at least once in the World Cup semifinal France–Spain (AT&T Stadium, Dallas, July 14, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. July 2026 · Predicted for 14. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

63%

Mbappé leads the Golden Boot race with 8 goals (joint with Messi, as of July 12, 2026). Polymarket gives France 40% to win the tournament, implying a strong semifinal position. Mbappé scored in 6 of 7 tournament matches; Spain conceded an average of 1.1 goals per game. France's attack is heavily channeled through their striker; Spain's defensive line has been breached multiple times. Bookmaker-implied probability for a Mbappé goal is not separately quoted, but his historical scoring rate in high-pressure knockouts is high.

Data basis for this prediction

FIFA Golden Boot-Tabelle (12.07.2026): Mbappé/Messi je 8 Tore (FIFA.com)
Polymarket: Frankreich 40 % WM-Gesamtsieger (Stand 12.07.2026)
Halbfinalplan: Frankreich–Spanien, 14. Juli 2026, Dallas (Al Jazeera / Fox Sports)

Verdict: Miss

Frankreich verlor das WM-Halbfinale am 14. Juli 2026 gegen Spanien mit 0:2 (Tore: Oyarzabal 22./Elfmeter, Porro 58.). Mbappé blieb torlos: In der 64. Minute scheiterte er aus spitzem Winkel an Keeper Unai Simón, drei Minuten später schoss er knapp am Tor vorbei. Spaniens Defensive blieb ohne Gegentor. Quellen: ESPN (France 0-2 Spain final score), NBC DFW, Sportschau, Tagesspiegel.

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