🏛️ Politics · Next Week

Kristdemokraterna (KD, Sweden) receives more than 6.0% of votes cast in the Riksdag election on September 13, 2026 (confirmed by Valmyndigheten by September 14)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 3. September 2026 · Predicted for 13. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

74%

Kristdemokraterna sits at 6.7% in PolitPro's Swedish election trend (early September 2026). A Demoskop poll from August 24, 2026 places them at 8.5%. In the 2022 Riksdag election, KD received 6.4%. The 4% threshold is clearly cleared; the > 6.0% prediction threshold sits 0.7–2.5 percentage points below the latest poll average. No existing open Cassandra entry for KD; all coalition bloc parties (SD, M, L) are already covered. PolitPro places the centre-right governing alliance at 45.6% – just short of a majority. No direct Polymarket market for KD individual percentage.

Data basis for this prediction

PolitPro Wahltrend Schweden: KD 6,7% (Stand Anfang Sep 2026, politpro.eu)
Demoskop-Umfrage 24. August 2026: KD 8,5% (politpro.eu/demoskop-2026-08-24)
Riksdag-Wahl 2022: KD Ergebnis 6,4% (Valmyndigheten / Wikipedia)
PolitPro Koalitionsprognose: Blau-schwarze Allianz 45,6% (Sep 2026)

Verdict: Hit

Kristdemokraterna (KD) erzielte bei der Riksdag-Wahl am 13. September 2026 laut Valmyndigheten 6,2% der Stimmen und gewann damit 22 Mandate. Das Ergebnis liegt klar über der Vorhersageschwelle von >6,0%. Quellen: SVT Nyheter (Valun: 'Kristdemokraterna får 6,1 procent'), Valmyndigheten (val.se), PolitPro Sweden 2026 Results.

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