⚽ Sports · Next Week

Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes AMG Petronas, ITA) takes pole position in qualifying for the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix (Hungaroring, Budapest, 25 July 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 23. July 2026 · Predicted for 25. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

65%

Mercedes has won all 10 qualifying sessions in the 2026 F1 season. Antonelli has taken 6 of those 10 poles (Russell the remaining 4). Aggregated bookmaker odds show Antonelli as race favorite at +150 to +160 (TheSpread.com, Covers.com, DraftKings, as of 22 July 2026), implying strong qualifying expectations. No Polymarket market for qualifying specifically; probability for Antonelli pole estimated at ~65% (remaining ~35% for teammate Russell or Ferrari surprise).

Data basis for this prediction

TheSpread.com: '2026 F1 Hungarian GP – Antonelli Favored at Hungaroring' (+150–160, 22. Juli 2026)
Covers.com / DraftKings: Hungarian GP opening odds (Juli 2026)
F1 2026: Mercedes 10/10 Qualifying-Dominanz (Yahoo Sports, Juli 2026)

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) sicherte sich die Pole Position beim Großen Preis von Ungarn 2026 – nicht Antonelli. Ferrari brach damit eine Serie von 10 Mercedes-Poles (Motorsport.com bestätigt).

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