Keisha Lance Bottoms (Democrats) wins the Georgia Governor's race against Rick Jackson (Republicans) — US Midterm Elections November 3, 2026 (confirmed by AP or NBC News by November 4, 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 1. November 2026
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Predicted for 3. November 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
Polymarket shows Bottoms at 61–63%, Kalshi similarly — despite the RealClearPolling average (5 polls) showing Jackson narrowly ahead by +1.2 points. The divergence between markets and polls is unusually wide, likely pricing in structural early-vote strength for Democrats and demographic shifts in Metro Atlanta. Bottoms would be Georgia's first Black governor; Jackson runs without incumbency. Anchor: Polymarket ~62% for Bottoms.
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket: Keisha Lance Bottoms 62 %, Rick Jackson 38 % (Stand 1. November 2026, polymarketbro.com)
- RealClearPolling: Jackson 47,8 % – Bottoms 46,6 %, Schnitt aus 5 Umfragen (1. November 2026)
- ShowdownWire.com: Georgia Governor Race Odds & Rating (1. November 2026)
- Wikipedia: 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election (abgerufen 1. November 2026)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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