⚽ Sports · Next Week

Kaylee McKeown (Australia) wins gold in the women's 100m backstroke at the 2026 Commonwealth Games (Tollcross, Glasgow, approx. July 25, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 21. July 2026 · Predicted for 25. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

72%

Kaylee McKeown is the reigning world record holder in the 100m backstroke (57.33s, Paris 2024) and Olympic champion. She has dominated the event since Tokyo 2021, winning every major championship since. Nearest rivals are Minna Atherton (AUS) and Kathleen Dawson (GBR), both classified 0.5s+ slower. Aggregated bookmaker odds imply ~75% gold probability for McKeown. The CWG 2026 swimming programme runs July 24–29 at Tollcross; women's 100m backstroke is typically scheduled in the second competition day.

Data basis for this prediction

World Aquatics 100m Back WR: McKeown 57,33 s (Paris 2024, World Aquatics)
CWG 2026 Schwimm-Zeitplan: Tollcross 24.–29. Juli 2026 (glasgow2026.com)
Paris 2024 Olympia: McKeown Gold 100m Rücken (IOC-Ergebnisdatenbank, Aug. 2024)
Buchmacherquoten CWG 2026 (aggregiert): McKeown impliziert ~75 % Goldchance

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Kaylee McKeown tritt bei den Commonwealth Games 2026 nicht an – sie erkrankte an Pfeifferschem Drüsenfieber und meldete sich ab (SwimSwam: 'Women's Backstroke Events Wide Open After McKeown's Withdrawal'). Gold ist für sie unmöglich.

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