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📈 Economy · Next Month

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) Reports Q3 FY2026 Managed Net Revenue of More Than $44.0 Billion (Confirmed by JPMorgan Investor Relations or Bloomberg by 14 October 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 23. September 2026 · Predicted for 13. October 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
68%

JPMorgan Chase reports Q3 FY2026 results on October 13, 2026, before market open (confirmed by TipRanks). Analyst consensus EPS stands at $5.88 per share (TipRanks, as of September 2026). On the revenue threshold: JPMorgan's Managed Net Revenue for Q3 2025 was approximately $42.7 billion; assuming 3–5% YoY growth (supported by 2026 Fed rate hikes — current rate 3.75–4.00%, September hike at 12:0 vote per Schwab) implies an expected Q3 2026 range of ~$44.0–44.8 billion. The $44.0 billion threshold sits at the lower end of the estimate range. Risk: credit losses in a high-rate environment could trigger reserve builds. No Polymarket quote available; calibration via consensus EPS and historical revenue growth yields approximately 68%.

Data basis for this prediction
  • TipRanks: JPMorgan Q3 FY2026 EPS-Konsens 5,88 USD, Berichtstermin 13. Oktober 2026 (tipranks.com, September 2026)
  • Charles Schwab: Fed Zinserhöhung 12:0 auf 3,75–4,00 % am 15./16. September 2026 (schwab.com)
  • JPMorgan Q3 2025 Managed Net Revenue: ~42,7 Mrd. USD (JPMorgan Investor Relations, Oktober 2025)
  • CME FedWatch: Oktober-FOMC Zinserhöhungswahrscheinlichkeit ~58 % (Stand 22. September 2026, macromicro.me)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
JPMorgan Chase meldete am 13. Oktober 2026 (wie vorhergesagt) einen Managed Net Revenue von 50,9 Milliarden USD für Q3 2026 – ein Plus von 8 % gegenüber dem Vorjahr. Damit wurde die Schwelle von 44,0 Mrd. USD deutlich übertroffen. Quellen: SEC Form 8-K (a3q26erfexhibit991narrative.htm), CNBC Bank Earnings Live Updates Oktober 2026, TipRanks JPM Q3 2026 Earnings Report. Der tatsächliche Wert lag sogar ~15 % über der Prognoseschwelle; getrieben durch starke Markets-Erlöse (+49 % Equities), höhere Einlagen und Vermögensverwaltungsgebühren. EPS von 5,57 USD verfehlte hingegen den Konsens von 5,90 USD leicht.
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Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT) beats Q3-FY2027 EPS consensus of $0.64 per share — earnings report November 19, 2026 before market open (confirmed by Walmart Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET)

Walmart has beaten EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters. The official consensus is $0.64/share — identical to the top of management guidance ($0.62–$0.64). Analysts average $0.72 (range $0.70–$0.73), anticipating another structural beat. Drivers: Robust US consumer (October CPI ~3.5–3.7%; September retail sales +0.8% MoM), ongoing grocery market share gains, and strong e-commerce and advertising growth. Risk: Management lowered full-year guidance after Q2; macro headwinds from elevated prices could compress volume mixes. The consistent beat history and structural tailwinds prevail.

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