Jonas Vingegaard (Visma–Lease a Bike) wins Tour de France 2026 Stage 13 (Dole–Belfort, Ballon d'Alsace, 205.8 km, July 17, 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 12. July 2026
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Predicted for 17. July 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
The open Cassandra prediction states that Pogačar does NOT win Stage 13. Vingegaard trails by 2:42 in 2nd place after Stage 9; a stage win would be a key signal of closing the gap. The Ballon d'Alsace (~9.5 km, 5.9% avg) summit finish is comparatively shallower than Alpine giants and favors explosive climbers who can attack early or win from small groups. Alternative scenarios: breakaway specialist, Juan Ayuso, or Remco Evenepoel. Vingegaard at 20% is one of the most likely individual winners if Pogačar tactically holds back or has a weak moment.
Data basis for this prediction
- TdF 2026 GC nach Etappe 9: Vingegaard +2:42 hinter Pogačar (Cyclingnews, 12.07.2026)
- Etappe-13-Profil: 205,8 km, Schlussanstieg Ballon d'Alsace (CyclingStageGuide)
- Offene Vorhersage: 'Nicht Pogačar gewinnt Etappe 13' (Cassandra.news)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Jonas Vingegaard gewann Etappe 13 der Tour de France 2026 nicht. Sieger war Mathieu van der Poel. Quellen: ProCyclingStats, Cyclingnews
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