Jonas Vingegaard (Visma-Lease a Bike, Denmark) wins Stage 18 of the Tour de France 2026 (Voiron–Orcières-Merlette, 185.2 km, July 23, 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 18. July 2026
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Predicted for 23. July 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
Stage 18 (Voiron–Orcières-Merlette, 185.2 km, ~3,900m gain) ends at the ski resort Orcières-Merlette — a classic mountain finish. Vingegaard (DEN) trails Pogačar by 3:36 and must attack on remaining summit finishes. Alpine summit stages are his proven domain (Alpe d'Huez 2022/2023). Pogačar is the dominant favourite (open predictions for Stages 14, 15, 19, 20) but holds no claim on Stage 18. No bookmaker market found; probability 22% — GC deficit forces Vingegaard's hand, but Pogačar is formidable.
Data basis for this prediction
- TdF 2026 Etappe 18 Profil: domestiquecycling.com / nbcsports.com (18.07.2026)
- TdF 2026 GC-Stand Pogačar 3:36 vor Vingegaard: cyclingnews.com (18.07.2026)
- Vingegaard Berg-Etappensiege 2022–2025: procyclingstats.com
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Etappe 18 TdF 2026: Jonas Vingegaard gewann nicht. Sieger war Victor Campenaerts aus Ausreißergruppe. Quelle: BBC Sport, cyclingweekly.com, sbs.com.au
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