⚽ Sports · Tomorrow

Joaquin Buckley (USA) defeats Mike Malott (Canada) — UFC Fight Night 282 main event (Rogers Place, Edmonton AB, October 17, 2026, confirmed by UFC.com or ESPN by October 18, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 16. October 2026 · Predicted for 17. October 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

65%

UFC Fight Night 282 takes place October 17, 2026 at Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta. Main event: welterweight (5 rounds), Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott. Buckley is a seasoned heavy-hitter with a strong recent welterweight record; Malott benefits from Canadian home-crowd support but has been pressured in higher-profile matchups. Aggregate bookmaker odds imply ~65% win probability for Buckley (as of October 16, 2026). No direct Polymarket or Kalshi contract found; probability based on odds aggregate and fight statistics.

Data basis for this prediction

UFC Fight Night 282 Fixture: Buckley vs. Malott, Rogers Place Edmonton, 17.10.2026 (UFC.com, ufcalendar.com, Stand 16.10.2026)
Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night 282 – Hauptkampf Weltergewicht 5 Runden, Paramount+ Übertragung (Stand 16.10.2026)
Buchmacherquoten-Aggregat: ~65 % Buckley-Sieg impliziert (geschätzt aus Marktdaten, 16.10.2026)

Verdict: Miss

Mike Malott besiegte Joaquin Buckley durch KO (Knie) in Runde 2 (bei 2:32). Die Vorhersage lag falsch – Malott nutzte seinen Heimvorteil und lieferte einen spektakulären Knock-out, der als KO of the Year-Kandidat gehandelt wird. Buckley verlor trotz der favorisierten ~65%-Wahrscheinlichkeit. Quellen: CBS Sports (https://www.cbssports.com/ufc/news/ufc-fight-night-results-live-updates-joaquin-buckley-mike-malott/live/), FightMag (https://www.fightmag.com/ufc-edmonton-buckley-vs-malott-live-results/)

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