⚽ Sports · Next Month

Jasper Philipsen (Alpecin-Deceuninck) wins Tour de France 2026 Stage 21 (Champs-Élysées, Paris, July 27, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 16. July 2026 · Predicted for 27. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

37%

Tour de France 2026 Stage 21 (Thoiry Zoo Safari → Champs-Élysées, Paris, 133 km, July 27) includes three climbs of Butte Montmartre before the mass sprint. Jasper Philipsen (Alpecin-Deceuninck) is his team's top sprinter and favorite for the Paris final stage; he is also listed as the predicted Stage 17 winner (mass sprint) in the Cassandra DB. Main rival: Søren Wærenskjold (Uno-X Mobility), who won Stage 11 in the fastest-ever TdF stage. Stage 21 odds not yet available; estimated probability based on start list and form: ~35–40%.

Data basis for this prediction

CycleStage.com / DomestiqueCycling: TdF 2026 Stage 21 – Thoiry→Champs-Élysées, 133 km, 27.07.2026
ProCyclingUK / Tour-Magazin: Philipsen als Top-Anwärter für Champs-Élysées-Sprint 2026
CyclingUpToDate: Wærenskjold gewinnt Stage 11 im Rekordtempo ('schnellste TdF-Etappe aller Zeiten')

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Etappe 21 der Tour de France 2026 gewann Mathieu van der Poel, nicht Jasper Philipsen.

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