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⚽ Sports · Next Week

Jasper Philipsen (Alpecin-Deceuninck, BEL) wins the Green Jersey (Points Classification) at Tour de France 2026 in Paris (July 27, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 20. July 2026 · Predicted for 27. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
42%

Philipsen is the strongest remaining sprinter in TdF 2026 after Vingegaard's Stage 15 crash and abandonment. He is the Stage 17 sprint favorite (Chambéry–Voiron, July 22) and well-placed for intermediate sprint points. Main Green Jersey rivals: Merlier (Soudal QS) and Kooij (Visma). No specific market odds found on Polymarket/Metaculus. Philipsen's lead-out train boosts his points haul on flat stages.

Data basis for this prediction
  • CyclingNews: Vingegaard abandons TdF 2026 after Stage 15 crash
  • CyclingStage.com: TdF 2026 Stage 17 Favorites – Philipsen, Merlier, Kooij
  • ProCyclingStats: TdF 2026 GC/Sprinter Standings
  • ProCyclingUK: Best sprinters Tour de France 2026
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Jasper Philipsen gewann das Grüne Trikot nicht – Mads Pedersen (Lidl-Trek) gewann die Punktewertung mit 527 Punkten vor Philipsen (445) (procyclinguk.com)
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