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Jacksonville Jaguars defeat Cleveland Browns in NFL Week 1 home game 2026/27 (TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville FL, September 13, 2026, confirmed by NFL.com or AP by September 13, 2026)
Probability
77%
The Jacksonville Jaguars are clear favorites against the Cleveland Browns in the NFL Week 1 home game. Current moneyline: Jaguars -390 (implied probability ~80%), Browns +312 (RotoWire, as of September 7, 2026). Polymarket traded the Jaguars at ~78.4% win probability (Dimers/Polymarket, September 7, 2026). The spread is Jaguars -9 points — unusually high for an NFL opening game and reflects Cleveland's weak roster situation. The CBS Sports model and several forecasting services favor Jacksonville. Own estimate stays close to the Polymarket anchor of ~78%, with moderate downward adjustment for NFL opening-game uncertainties (fresh lineups, form unknowns).
Data basis for this prediction
- Jaguars -390 Moneyline, Browns +312 (RotoWire NFL Week 1 Odds, 7. Sep 2026)
- Polymarket/Dimers: Jaguars 78,4% Siegwahrscheinlichkeit (7. Sep 2026)
- Spread: Jaguars -9 Punkte (FOX Sports/DraftKings NFL Week 1 Lines, Sep 2026)
- CBS Sports: Computer-Modell favorisiert Jaguars in Week 1 2026 (7. Sep 2026)
Verdict: Hit
Die Jacksonville Jaguars besiegten die Cleveland Browns am 13. September 2026 klar mit 34-10 (Quelle: ESPN, PFF, Jaguars.com). Der Sieg war deutlich: Jacksonville führte zur Halbzeit 24-0 (Franchise-Rekord für meiste Punkte in einer Halbzeit eines Saisoneröffnungsspiels) und übertraf sogar den prognostizierten Spread von -9 Punkten. Die Vorhersage eines Jacksonville-Sieges ist eindeutig eingetreten.