Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) beats Q2 2026 adjusted non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. USD 0.10 per share (July 23, 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 14. July 2026
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Predicted for 23. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Intel releases Q2 2026 results on July 23 after market close. Own non-GAAP EPS guidance: $0.20 – double the analyst consensus of ~$0.10. In Q1 2026, Intel delivered non-GAAP EPS of $0.29 vs. consensus of $0.01 (massive beat). Intel beat consensus EPS in 3 of last 4 quarters. Revenue guidance ($13.8–14.8bn) exceeds prior consensus of $13.07bn. Stock at 52-week high ~$140 (July 2026). Without an operational shock, Intel will come in well above $0.10 non-GAAP. No Polymarket market. Probability: ~85%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Intel Q2-2026-Non-GAAP-EPS-Guidance 0,20 USD (Intel Newsroom / intc.com, Juli 2026)
- Analysten-EPS-Konsens Q2 2026: ca. 0,10 USD (MarketBeat / Moomoo, Juli 2026)
- Intel Q1 2026: Non-GAAP EPS 0,29 USD vs. Konsens 0,01 USD (SEC Form 8-K / Yahoo Finance, April 2026)
- Intel 3 von 4 Quartalen EPS-Konsens übertroffen; Aktie ~140 USD 52-Wochen-Hoch (247WallSt, 1. Juli 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Intel Q2-2026 Non-GAAP EPS $0,22 übertrifft den sehr niedrig angesetzten Konsens von ~$0,10 je Aktie in dieser Vorhersage bei weitem. (TradingKey, AlphaStreet)
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Applied Materials has beaten the EPS consensus in all four of its last reported quarters, with an average earnings surprise of +3.5%. The company's own Q4 guidance is $3.82–$4.22 per share; consensus at $4.06 sits near the midpoint, reflecting classic conservative management framing. Revenue is estimated at $10.30B (+51% YoY) — TSMC and Samsung have not pulled back H2 2026 capex plans. No Polymarket market directly available; a 100% beat streak over 4 quarters with a positive guidance range implies 70–75% probability. Risk: supply chain delays or expanded US export controls on advanced chips could force a Q5 inventory build.
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PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.
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CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.