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🍾 Beverages · Tomorrow

ICE NY Cocoa September 2026 (CCU26) trades above $5,500 per tonne on 12 July 2026

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 11. July 2026 · Predicted for 12. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event
Probability
72%

Cocoa is a key commodity for chocolate beverages, cocoa RTDs and hot cocoa drinks. Open Cassandra predictions anchor CCU26 above $5,700/tonne on 14 July and above $5,400/tonne on 18 July — the interpolated range for 12 July sits in the $5,500–$5,800 corridor. Structurally elevated cocoa prices reflect ongoing harvest failures in Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana from El Niño aftereffects and disease pressure. A drop below $5,500 on 12 July would contradict both downstream anchors and would require an extreme, unannounced event. No Polymarket quote available.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Offene Cassandra-Prognosen: CCU26 > 5.700 USD am 14.07.2026 und > 5.400 USD am 18.07.2026
  • ICE NY Kakao Septemberfuture (CCU26): strukturell hohes Preisniveau durch Westafrika-Ernteausfälle (El-Niño-Nachhall) – Branchenquellen / Barchart Juli 2026
  • Kakao als Rohstoff für Heiß- und Kaltgetränke: Relevanz für Getränkekategorie (Cocoa/Chocolate RTD)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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