ICE NY Cocoa September 2026 (CCU26) trades above $5,500 per tonne on 12 July 2026
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 11. July 2026
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Predicted for 12. July 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
Cocoa is a key commodity for chocolate beverages, cocoa RTDs and hot cocoa drinks. Open Cassandra predictions anchor CCU26 above $5,700/tonne on 14 July and above $5,400/tonne on 18 July — the interpolated range for 12 July sits in the $5,500–$5,800 corridor. Structurally elevated cocoa prices reflect ongoing harvest failures in Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana from El Niño aftereffects and disease pressure. A drop below $5,500 on 12 July would contradict both downstream anchors and would require an extreme, unannounced event. No Polymarket quote available.
Data basis for this prediction
- Offene Cassandra-Prognosen: CCU26 > 5.700 USD am 14.07.2026 und > 5.400 USD am 18.07.2026
- ICE NY Kakao Septemberfuture (CCU26): strukturell hohes Preisniveau durch Westafrika-Ernteausfälle (El-Niño-Nachhall) – Branchenquellen / Barchart Juli 2026
- Kakao als Rohstoff für Heiß- und Kaltgetränke: Relevanz für Getränkekategorie (Cocoa/Chocolate RTD)
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] ICE NY Kakao September 2026 (CCU26) schloss am Freitag 10. Juli (letzter Handelstag vor dem Sonntag-Stichtag) bei ca. 6.065–6.455 USD/t – weit über der Schwelle von 5.500 USD. Kakao hat laut Barchart und Foreign Policy Journal seit Anfang Juli über 6.000 USD gehandelt, trotz Rückgang am Freitag (-6,04 %). Quellen: barchart.com/futures/quotes/CCU26, foreignpolicyjournal.com 08.07.2026.
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