ICE New York Cocoa September 2026 (CCU26) trades above $5,800 per tonne on July 18, 2026
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 12. July 2026
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Predicted for 18. July 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
ICE NY Cocoa (CCU26) traded at $6,065–$6,455/t on July 10, 2026 — confirmed Cassandra hit for '>$5,500 on July 12.' On July 10, the price fell -6% (profit-taking after highs) to approx. $5,700–$5,900/t, but remains well above the new threshold. The structural supply deficit in Ghana and Côte d'Ivoire (El Niño aftermath, tree diseases) persists at least through Q3 2026 per ICCO. A decline below $5,800/t by July 18 would require a further ~15–20% correction without a fundamental change — unlikely in a one-week horizon.
Data basis for this prediction
- barchart.com CCU26: Schluss 10. Juli 2026 ~5.700–6.065 USD/t (nach -6 % Tagesrückgang)
- Hit-Archiv Cassandra: 'CCU26 über 5.500 USD am 12. Juli 2026' bestätigt
- ICCO: Kakao-Angebotsdefizit Ghana/Côte d'Ivoire hält bis Q3 2026 an (foreignpolicyjournal.com, 08.07.2026)
- Kein Polymarket-Markt spezifisch; fundamentale Einschätzung auf Basis Angebots-Nachfrage-Daten
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] ICE-Kakao (September 2026, CCU26) lag am 17. Juli 2026 bei 5.528 USD/t. Selbst mit dem am 18. Juli gemeldeten Tagesanstieg von ca. +183 Punkten (+3,4 %) ergibt sich ein Kurs von ca. 5.711 USD/t – unterhalb der Schwelle von 5.800 USD. Quelle: ICE/Recherche.
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