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📈 Economy · Next Week

IBEX 35 (Bolsa de Madrid) closes above 19,100 points on September 22, 2026 (confirmed by BME or Bloomberg by September 22, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 18. September 2026 · Predicted for 22. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
79%

The IBEX 35 closed at 19,384.70 points on September 18, 2026 (+0.32%). The 19,100 threshold is 1.5% below the current level. With historical IBEX daily volatility of ~0.9–1.2% and two trading days remaining until Monday September 22, the 2-day standard deviation is approximately 1.6–1.7%, placing the threshold ~0.9 standard deviations below current levels — implying ~82% probability of remaining above. Macro support: SNB expected to hold rates at 0.00% (consensus: 40/41 economists, Reuters poll); EUR/USD stable at 1.1461; no critical ECB decisions within the window. No existing Cassandra prediction explicitly covers the IBEX 35.

Data basis for this prediction
  • IBEX 35 Schlusskurs 18.09.2026: 19.384,70 Punkte +0,32 % (Investing.com)
  • EUR/USD 18.09.2026: 1,1461 (TradingEconomics)
  • SNB-Konsensumfrage Sept. 2026: 40/41 Ökonomen erwarten Halt auf 0,00 % am 25.09. (Reuters/Investing.com)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] IBEX 35 schloss am 21.09.2026 bei 19.514 Punkten, klar über 19.100 (Newsquawk/MarketScreener).
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