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💻 Technology · Next Month

Google officially unveils the Pixel 11 and Pixel 11 Pro at a 'Made by Google' hardware event (by October 31, 2026, confirmed by Google Newsroom or 9to5Google by November 1, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 30. September 2026 · Predicted for 31. October 2026 · Based on: Speculative
Probability
73%

Google has held an annual 'Made by Google' event typically in October since 2016: Pixel 7 (Oct 2022), Pixel 8 (Oct 2023), Pixel 9 (Oct 2024), Pixel 10 (Oct 2025). A Pixel 11 event in October 2026 follows this 10-year tradition. The Googlebook launch on October 5, 2026 (open platform prediction) confirms Google hardware activity in October; a separate Pixel event is historically standard. Meta Connect 2026 (September 23–24) unveiled Ray-Ban Gen 4 and Meta Glasses — competitive pressure on Google in the premium hardware segment. New device expected to feature Tensor G6, enhanced Gemini Live integration, and improved camera system. Risk: event shift to November (~27% residual risk based on historical deviations).

Data basis for this prediction
  • Made by Google Event History: Pixel 9 (Oktober 2024), Pixel 10 (Oktober 2025) (Google Newsroom)
  • Googlebook Deutschland-Launch: 5. Oktober 2026 (offene Plattformvorhersage, bestätigt durch Google Store DE / Heise.de)
  • Meta Connect 2026: Ray-Ban Smart Glasses Gen 4 + Meta Glasses vorgestellt (Meta Newsroom/Engadget, 23. September 2026)
  • Google 'Made by Google' Oktober-Event-Konsistenz: 8 von 10 Jahren in Oktober abgehalten (2016–2025)
Verdict: Hit
Das Made by Google 2026 Event fand am 12. August 2026 in New York City statt – deutlich früher als der vorhergesagte Oktober-Termin, aber klar innerhalb der Deadline 31. Oktober 2026. Google stellte dort offiziell Pixel 11, Pixel 11 Pro und Pixel 11 Pro XL vor; die Ankündigung ist auf blog.google (Google Newsroom) dokumentiert. Die Kernbedingung der Vorhersage (offizielle Vorstellung auf einem Made by Google Event bis 31.10.2026, bestätigt durch Google Newsroom) ist damit erfüllt. Fehlerhaft war jedoch die Annahme, Google würde die Oktober-Tradition fortsetzen – stattdessen hat Google die Produktlinie 2026 erstmals in den August vorgezogen, analog zur Verschiebung die Samsung und Apple in Vorjahren vornahmen. Quellen: Tom's Guide (tomsguide.com/news/live/made-by-google-2026-live), Google Blog (blog.google/products-and-platforms/devices/pixel/google-pixel-11-pro-xl/), GSMArena (gsmarena.com/google_pixel_11_pro_5g-14801.php).
Related Predictions
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) beats Q4 FY2026 EPS consensus of $4.06 per share — earnings report November 12, 2026 after market close (confirmed by Applied Materials Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 13, 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

Applied Materials has beaten the EPS consensus in all four of its last reported quarters, with an average earnings surprise of +3.5%. The company's own Q4 guidance is $3.82–$4.22 per share; consensus at $4.06 sits near the midpoint, reflecting classic conservative management framing. Revenue is estimated at $10.30B (+51% YoY) — TSMC and Samsung have not pulled back H2 2026 capex plans. No Polymarket market directly available; a 100% beat streak over 4 quarters with a positive guidance range implies 70–75% probability. Risk: supply chain delays or expanded US export controls on advanced chips could force a Q5 inventory build.

72%
Next Week · Predicted for 12. Nov 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR) closes above $185.00 per share on at least one trading day in November 2026 — confirmed by Nasdaq or Bloomberg by December 1, 2026

PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.

42%
Next Month · Predicted for 30. Nov 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Cerebras Systems (NASDAQ: CBRS) closes below $100.00 per share on November 10, 2026 (confirmed by Nasdaq or Bloomberg by November 11, 2026)

CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.

62%
Next Week · Predicted for 10. Nov 2026