Gadi Eizenkot (Mamlachti/National Unity) becomes next Israeli Prime Minister following the parliamentary election on October 27, 2026 (confirmed by Reuters or Haaretz by November 15, 2026)

Polymarket prediction market ($49M trading volume, as of October 20, 2026): Gadi Eizenkot leads at 50% probability, followed by Benjamin Netanyahu at 28% (remaining candidates ~22%). The Knesset election is on October 27, 2026; the President will subsequently mandate the candidate with the best coalition prospects to form a government. Eizenkot's advantage lies in his ability to unite centrist and left-wing blocs without the polarizing entourage risks of the Netanyahu bloc. The existing Cassandra forecast 'Likud remains strongest single faction' does not contradict this: largest faction ≠ government mandate (cf. Israeli coalition dynamics 2021–2023). Probability taken directly from Polymarket: 50%.