Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms (ERR) (announcement by Norwegian Nobel Committee on October 11, 2026, confirmed by October 12, 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. September 2026
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Predicted for 11. October 2026
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Based on: Speculative
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms (ERR) — a nationwide civilian volunteer network coordinating food delivery, evacuations, and emergency medical care amid the ongoing Sudanese civil war — lead Polymarket's prediction field as the most likely single Nobel Peace Prize 2026 winner at 14.8% (~$25M market volume). Runners-up: Save the Children (6.3%), Yulia Navalnaya (6.0%), International Court of Justice (5.6%). The Nobel Committee has increasingly recognized civil-society actors in active conflict zones. Note: with only ~14.8%, any outcome remains uncertain. Polymarket implies 15%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket: ERR 14,8 %, ~25 Mio. USD Marktvolumen (Stand 26.09.2026)
- Polymarket Analytics: Save the Children 6,3 %, Navalnaya 6,0 %, IGH 5,6 % (26.09.2026)
- Nobel Committee: Bekanntgabe Friedensnobelpreis, zweiter Freitag im Oktober = 11. Oktober 2026
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Der Friedensnobelpreis 2026 wurde am 9. Oktober an Navi Pillay (Südafrika), ehemalige UN-Hochkommissarin für Menschenrechte, verliehen – nicht an die sudanesischen Emergency Response Rooms (Norwegisches Nobel-Komitee, UN News, CNN, Wikipedia).
🏛️ Politics
✦ AI
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🏛️ Politics
✦ AI
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🏛️ Politics
✦ AI
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