⚽ Sports · Next Week

France defeats Spain in the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal on July 14, 2026 (AT&T Stadium, Dallas)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. July 2026 · Predicted for 14. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

61%

France faces Spain at 3 PM ET on July 14 at AT&T Stadium, Dallas. Kalshi prices France at 61 cents (−156 implied odds), Spain at 40 cents. Opta/Polymarket consensus: 54.7% for France. France has scored 16–2 in the tournament, Spain 11–1. Polymarket sees ~61% for France. Note: this prediction diverges from the existing Cassandra scenario (Spain in the final) and reflects current market consensus.

Data basis for this prediction

Kalshi: Frankreich 61% Favorit vs. Spanien 40% für WM-Halbfinale (kalshi.com, Stand 11. Juli 2026)
SI.com: 'France vs. Spain Opening Odds for World Cup Semifinals' (si.com/betting, Juli 2026)
ESPN: France outscoring 16-2; Spain 11-1 im WM-Turnier (espn.com, Juli 2026)
Polymarket: polymarket.com/sports/world-cup/fifwc-fra-esp-2026-07-14 (Stand 11. Juli 2026)

Verdict: Miss

Spanien besiegte Frankreich im WM-2026-Halbfinale am 14. Juli 2026 mit 2:0 (AT&T Stadium, Dallas). Trotz Frankreichs Favoritenstatus (61% Marktwahrscheinlichkeit) erzielte Spanien Tore durch Mikel Oyarzabal (Elfmeter, 1. Halbzeit) und Pedro Porro (58. Min.) und zog ins Finale ein. Die Vorhersage lag falsch, weil Spanien entgegen den Marktprognosen klar dominierte. Quelle: ESPN (https://www.espn.com/soccer/match/_/gameId/760514/spain-france), FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/en/match-centre/match/17/285023/289290/400021541), NPR (https://www.npr.org/2026/07/14/nx-s1-5893692/2026-world-cup-fifa-spain-france-semifinal)

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