⚽ Sports · Next Week

France defeats Norway in the 2026 FIFA World Cup third-place match (July 18)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 11. July 2026 · Predicted for 18. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

62%

Based on projected SF results (Spain beats France July 14; Argentina beats Norway July 15 per Cassandra predictions), France meets Norway on July 18. France retains elite depth (Mbappé, Griezmann); Norway plays its first-ever WM SF. Polymarket had France at 38-40% tournament favorite vs. Norway's much lower odds. Conditional P(France wins): ~62%.

Data basis for this prediction

WM 2026 Spielplan: 3.-Platz-Spiel 18. Juli, Finale 19. Juli MetLife Stadium (FIFA/Olympics.com)
WM SF-Paarungen: Match 101 Spanien–Frankreich 14.07 Dallas, Match 102 Argentinien–Norwegen 15.07 Atlanta (NBC Sports)
Polymarket WM-Gesamtsieger: Frankreich 38–40 %, Argentinien angestiegen, Norwegen <10 % (Polymarket, Juli 2026)
Cassandra-Vorhersagen (offen): Spanien besiegt Frankreich 14.07; Argentinien ins WM-Finale

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Norwegen schied im WM-Viertelfinale gegen England aus und ist nicht im Spiel um Platz 3 vertreten. Das Spiel Frankreich vs. Norwegen kann nicht stattfinden. Quelle: Al Jazeera; CBS Sports (Halbfinalisten: Frankreich, Spanien, England, Argentinien)

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